Homeowners Are Sitting On Trillions In Cash

By | Housing News | No Comments

A growing number of homeowners are in the money — big money.

The amount of home equity borrowers now have at their disposal reached an all-time high in the third quarter of last year. The 42 million homeowners with mortgages have a collective $5.5 trillion in “tappable” equity, according to Black Knight Data & Analytics, which studies the mortgage industry.

This is $3 trillion more than they had when the housing market last bottomed in 2012, after the financial crisis. Black Knight defines tappable equity as the amount available for homeowners to borrow before reaching 80 percent of debt to value against their home.

Following the housing crash, millions of borrowers fell underwater on their mortgages, owing more than their homes were worth. Fast-rising home prices over the last two years have brought borrowers above water and beyond. Approximately 80 percent of homeowners now have equity they can use, cash which could fuel the economy. Just 2.7 percent of borrowers, or about 1.36 million, still owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth.

Generally, there are two ways to take cash out of an equity-rich home.

One is to refinance the original mortgage to a larger loan. This could possibly change the interest rate on the loan. The other way is to take out a second loan, either a home equity mortgage, which is a lump sum, or a home equity line of credit (HELOC), which is essentially like a checking account on your home.

HELOCs are very popular, but they recently lost a major benefit. Under the new Republican tax law, the interest paid on these loans is no longer deductible. Borrowers used to be able to deduct interest paid on up to $100,000 in home equity loan debt.

For primary loans, mortgage borrowers can still deduct the interest paid on up to $750,000 worth of mortgage debt, down from $1 million under the previous tax code. That raises the question of whether it is better just to do a cash-out refinance instead.

“Homeowners who will still itemize under the new tax plan will likely find the lack of deductibility of HELOC interest swings the value pendulum towards cash-out refinances as a way to tap their equity,” said Ben Graboske, executive vice president of Black Knight.

“This is particularly true for those with low first-lien balances drawing greater amounts of equity. On the other hand, for those with high first-lien balances drawing low volumes of equity, the math still tends to favor HELOCs.”

U.S. Mortgage Rates Stable To Higher In Mid-January

By | Mortgage Industry | One Comment

US mortgage rates moved very little on Tuesday. Most credit providers offered marginally better rates yesterday morning, but the weakness in bond prices prompted many of them to release higher rate sheets around the middle of the day.

Generally speaking, that trend might continue, and the past couple of days might merely have been a pause. Whether it is the beginning of a reversal or merely a pause, both would start in the same manner.

The vital development in the bond markets that underpin rate movements has been an apparent shift to lower prices, which means higher returns on bonds and also higher mortgage rates as a result. If one uses returns on 10-year Treasury Notes as a benchmark, we would like to see 2.60% becoming the new ceiling.

The missing ingredient right now is a shift toward a crucial floor. In the current scenario, a great first step would undoubtedly be for the yield on 10-year Treasuries to drop to 2.52%. If it should fall to 2.42%, that would likely correspond with rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages dropping to an average of around 4.0%.

Mortgage expert Jay Bridges said that near closing time on Wednesday, bonds were rallying just below their highest levels of the day following a drop in stock prices. A couple of lenders issued higher rate sheets at that point. He advised borrowers whose lender of choice was one of these to float over the short term in the hope of catching a break.

Another mortgage expert pointed out that bond markets remained relatively flat on Tuesday as stock prices approached new highs. He added: “I have to wonder what rates would/will do if/when stocks ever regress, but not banking on that happening soon. There’s limited pertinent data the rest of the week, I doubt we’ll see any huge pricing swings. A few lenders have repriced worse in the last 30 minutes, I’ll continue locking early.”